Big weekend of racing coming up at this Saturday at Moonee Valley and will be previewing Race 6, Race 7 & Race 8, view my full analysis for the two races and betting strategy below thanks to our sponsor Topsport  : www.topsport.com.au

Current Results || 700 Units Outlayed || 878.5 Units Returned || 178.5  Units Profit || 145 out of 152 Successful Lays ||

RACE 6 BENCHMARK 70 HANDICAP ANALYSIS & BETTING STRATEGY (CURRENT MARKET)

Distance & Class

Open Handicap over 1400m.


Track Bias

Expecting an advantage to horse handy to the speed and in lanes 1-3 in the straight.


Early Speed 

Fast

Expecting a fast early speed with Japery [6], Deep Dive [1], Invincible Jet [3] & Marimenko [7] all prominent early, off that group Rogue Star [2], National Choice [10] & Write Your Name [11] will get soft runs.


Top Pick

Tough race to assess with a capacity field over the 1400m, have settled on the Will Clarken trained 3. BEAU ROSSA second up off a strong run when resuming last start, sat just off the pace in the Listed Falvelon Quality over 1200m and hit the line strongly late, strips fitter now second up and is well suited going out to 1400m, has the early speed to get a nice run in behind the pace and saved for one sprint at them late.


Danger

The Annabel Neasham trained 17. HOLYFIELD appeals at an each way price after leading all the way over 1400m last start at Randwick, the gelding is now at peak fitness and finds the front and able to dictate throughout with one of the best front running rider in the country Tim Clark booked to ride, also like the fact he drops 7kg off the last start run.


BETTING STRATEGY

Back 11. Sharp Response (2 Unit Win Bet)
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Back 4. Alburq (1 Unit Win Bet)
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RACE 7 BENCHMARK 84 HANDICAP ANALYSIS & BETTING STRATEGY (CURRENT MARKET)

Distance & Class

2YO Open Set Weights over 1200m.


Track Bias

Expecting an advantage to horse handy to the speed and in lanes 1-3 in the straight.


Early Speed

Average

Expecting an average early speed with Surreal Image [2] going to an uncontested lead with Le Baol [4] sitting outside of the pace, Eureka Street [1] & New Choice [12] will enjoy soft runs stalking the pace throughout.


Top Pick

Very keen on the Snowden trained 11. RUSSIAN CONQUEST having her third career start and looking to remain unbeaten, could not have been any more impressive when resuming off a short freshen up last start over 1100m, the filly sat off the pace and displayed a sharp turn of foot to win by over 3 lengths, she has drawn perfectly in barrier 4 to get a soft run just off a fast early speed.


Danger

The stablemate to the top pick 12. MISS HELLFIRE appeals at a double figure price, sat on the speed last start over 1100m at the track and loved the way she fought on late to hold on, she strips fitter now and from barrier 11 has the early speed to be prominent throughout and make her own luck.


Lay

Taking on the Robert & Luke Price trained 2. JAMAEA having her first start this preparation, this will be a huge training performance to get the filly to win first up over 1400m in a high quality field, this looks to be a high pressure race and she has a habit of getting back in her races which will be a huge negative around the Gold Coast track.


BETTING STRATEGY

Back 4. Fundraiser (2 Unit Win Bet)
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Back 11. New Choice (1 Unit Win Bet)
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Lay 12. Unanimous ($5.50 and below)
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RACE 8 BENCHMARK 84 HANDICAP ANALYSIS & BETTING STRATEGY (CURRENT MARKET)

Distance & Class

3YO Open Set Weights & Penalties over 1400m.


Track Bias

Expecting an advantage to horse handy to the speed and in lanes 1-3 in the straight.


Early Speed

Genuine

Expecting a genuine early speed with In The Boat [5] going straight to the front with the apprentice on board, Ocean Beyond [14] will enjoy a nice run outside of the pace with Titan Blinders [11] coming across to stalk the pace, then it becomes very messy with a heap of them wanting to settle midfield.


Top Pick

Tough race to assess with confidence with many in the field having the required form to be in the finish over the 1400m, have gone with the Waterhouse & Bott trained 13. SHIHONKA second up, feel the filly needed the first up run from a freshen up and wasn’t aided by being slowly away which she hasn’t done in previous starts, with Tim Clark booked to ride I am expecting an aggressive ride to lead throughout and with general improvement between runs will prove hard to run down.


Danger

The stablemate to the top pick 12. MISS HELLFIRE appeals at a double figure price, sat on the speed last start over 1100m at the track and loved the way she fought on late to hold on, she strips fitter now and from barrier 11 has the early speed to be prominent throughout and make her own luck.


Lay

Taking on the Robert & Luke Price trained 2. JAMAEA having her first start this preparation, this will be a huge training performance to get the filly to win first up over 1400m in a high quality field, this looks to be a high pressure race and she has a habit of getting back in her races which will be a huge negative around the Gold Coast track.


BETTING STRATEGY

Back 11. In The Boat (2 Unit Win Bet)
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Back 2. Ocean Beyond (0.5 Unit Win Bet)
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Lay 1. Curran($10.00 and below)
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