Big weekend of racing coming up with the Group 3 George Moore Stakes & Listed Mode Plate at Doomben plus the Listed Pakenham Cup, view my full analysis and betting strategy below thanks to sponsors Topsport  : www.topsport.com.au
Current Results || 33 Unit Outlayed || 48.5 Units Returned || 15.5 Units Profit || 15 out of 17 Lays ||

PAKENHAM CUP ANALYSIS & BETTING STRATEGY (CURRENT MARKET)

Distance & Class

Listed Open Handicap over 2500m


Track Bias

Expecting a slight advantage to be handy to the speed and within lanes 1-4 in the straight.


Early Speed 

Genuine

Expecting a genuine speed throughout with Knights Order [2] to take up the running with Our Big Mike [7] to sit outside the speed, Brimham Rocks [9] & Princess Jenni [10] will both work across from wide draws to be just of the pace throughout. 


Top Pick

The Waterhouse & Bott trained 7. KNIGHTS ORDER looks well placed coming back to 2500m after not seeing out the 2800m at Flemington trying to lead all the way at a solid tempo last start, the small field suits and from barrier 2 the gelding will roll to the front and will prove very hard to run down on a track that will suit gallopers that are handy to the speed.


Danger

The ultra consistent 1. BRIMHAM ROCKS brings the best formlines into the race after contesting the Group 1 Metropolitan earlier in the preparation before finishing less than 1.3 lengths at his next three starts at Group & Listed level, the gelding is at his peak fitness and from barrier 9 can roll across to sit just behind the speed throughout, also like the fact that the in form Damien Lane has retained the ride.


Lay

Taking on the Matthew Cumani trained 5. CREEDENCE, the gelding won well when resuming this preparation but feel this is one run too many this time in and the gelding is ready for a spell, he was only fair last start over 2600m at Flemington in the Queen Elizabeth and from barrier 1 he looks to get berried along the fence in the run.


BETTING STRATEGY

Back Knights Order (1 Unit Win Bet)
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Back Brimham Rocks (1 Unit Win Bet)
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Lay Creedence ($8.00 and below)
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GEORGE MOORE STAKES ANALYSIS & BETTING STRATEGY (CURRENT MARKET)

Distance & Class

Group 3 Open Handicap over 1200m.


Track Bias

Expecting a slight advantage to be handy to the speed and within lanes 1-4 in the straight.


Early Speed 

Genuine

Expecting a genuine pace throughout Jonker [4] & The Odyssey [5] both pushing forward to contest the lead, Deep Image [1] & Usmanov [12] will get the run of the race stalking the pace throughout. 


Top Pick

The Tony Gollan trained 8. JONKER looked a refreshed galloper when resuming for the new stable up north when a dominant all the way winner over 1200m in the Listed Keith Noud in a new career peak performance, from barrier 4 will roll to the lead and if able to reproduce the figure from the last start win will prove very hard to run down.


Danger

Expecting a big first up performance from the Kelly Schweida trained 5. THE ODYSSEY at each way odds, the trial leading in was very impressive jumping straight to the front and winning by a margin under minimal riding, the horse runs well fresh and from barrier 5 will be right on the speed throughout.


Lay

Very happy to oppose the Rob Heathcote trained 1. DEEP IMAGE second up, was beaten convincingly by Jonker last start and can’t see the gelding finding the required improvement between runs to turn the tables.


BETTING STRATEGY

Back Jonker (2 Unit Win Bet)
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Back The Odyssey (1 Unit Win Bet)
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Lay Deep Image($12.00 and below)
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MODE PLATE ANALYSIS & BETTING STRATEGY (CURRENT MARKET)

Distance & Class

Listed 3YO Fillies Set Weights over 1200m.


Track Bias

Expecting a slight advantage to be handy to the speed and within lanes 1-4 in the straight.


Early Speed 

Fast

Expecting a fast early speed with Freyas Cloack [9], Hancora Field [10] & Dusty Tycoon [2] contesting the lead with One Shy Ruby [8] & Isotope [1] getting beautiful runs behind the pace when they settle in the run.


Top Pick

Very keen on 4. DEEP SPEED from the McEvoy stable, the gelding has been ultra consistent this preparation highlighted by two wins from three starts, didn’t see out the 1400m last start and is suited back to 1200m where he has recorded two wins including a dominant all the way victory two back over at the track, will find the front and prove very tough to get past.


Danger

The Greg Eurell trained 6. ILOVETHEGAME resumed in very good order last start over 1200m at the track, the gelding took up the running and was only run down late, strips fitter now and would of taken plenty of improvement off that performance, he will be prominent in the run and is well suited staying at 1200m.


Lay

Tough for a galloper to go from a maiden win straight to listed level and feel this is a bridge to far at career start number 2 for the Daniel Bowman trained 8. OCEAN BEYOND, the win on debut only rated fairly and feel he wont have the required improvement to be in the finish here against proven gallopers, also the fact there is superior speed inside him he might be forced to race wide throughout or get too far back on a track that will be hard to make ground at.


BETTING STRATEGY

Back Isotope (3 Unit Win Bet)
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Back Dusty Tycoon (1 Unit Win Bet)
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Lay Paredo ($9.00 and below)
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