Huge day of racing coming up this Saturday at Rosehill & Flemington and will be previewing the following races, Australian Cup (2000m) at Flemington plus the Group 1 Vinery Stud Stakes (2000m) and Group 1 Tancred Stakes (2400m) from Rosehill, view my full analysis for the race and betting strategy below thanks to our sponsor Topsport : www.topsport.com.au
Current Results || 739 Units Outlayed || 1038.3 Units Returned || 299.3 Units Profit At Best Price ||
FLEMINGTON RACE 7 : AUSTRALIAN CUP ANALYSIS & BETTING STRATEGY : (CURRENT MARKET)
Distance & Class
Group 1 3YO+ Open Weight For Age over 2000m.
Track Bias
Expecting an even track with all runners getting their chance dependent on individual race pace.
Early Speed
Expecting a genuine early speed with Marocchino [13], Mounga [15], Smokin Romans [5] & Numerian [1] all pushing forward to be prominent, off the leading group Pouding [9], Bank Maur [7], El Patroness [6] & Right You Are [8] will enjoy economical runs in transit.
Top Pick
Just loved the way the Jame Cummings trained 1. CASCADIAN hit the line from along way off the speed in the All Star Mile last start, I like the fact the gelding is on the quick back up and getting out to the suitable 2000m is a big positive, will settled off the speed form the wide draw but with a genuine early speed predicted will get every chance to finish over the top of them late with the in form Ben Melham retaining the ride.
Danger
The in form 9. RIGHT YOUR ARE is looking to make it six wins in a row this preparation from the in form Maher & Eustace stable, the gelding is at peak fitness and if able to reproduce the rating from the last start performance over 2000m at Flemington he will be in the finish, has the early speed to be handy to the pace making his own luck in running.
BETTING STRATEGY
Back 1. Cascadian (1 Unit Win Bet)
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Back 9. Right You Are (1 Unit Win Bet)
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ROSEHILL RACE 7 : VINERY STUD STAKES ANALYSIS & BETTING STRATEGY : (CURRENT MARKET)
Distance & Class
Group 1 3YO Fillies Set Weights over 2000m.
Track Bias
Expecting an even track with all runners getting their chance dependent on individual race pace.
Early Speed
Expecting a genuine early speed with Pavitra [9] & Papillon Club [3] going forward to contest the early lead, off the leading pair Soul Choice [13], Fireburn [6], Pierossa [2] & Whisky Wisdom [1] will enjoy soft runs.
Top Pick
Keen on the Richard & William Freedman trained 3. PAVITRA third up this preparation after the filly was a dominant all the way winner over 1600m last start in the Group 3 Kembla Classic, she would have taken further improvement off that performance and the way she ran right through the line the step up to 2000m this preparation will not be an issue, has the early speed to be prominent to the pace not needing luck in running.
Danger
The Greg Eurell trained 5. PAPILLON CLUB appeals at an each way price this preparation with the filly running strongly in all starts this preparation, she is now at peak fitness this time in and the way she was able to ru right through the line late indicates she will handle the step up in trip for the first time in her career over 2000m, drawn perfectly in barrier 3 to sit outside of the speed or take a sit stalking the pace.
BETTING STRATEGY
Back 3. Pavitra (2 Unit Win Bet)
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Back 5. Papillon Club (0.5 Unit Win Bet)
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ROSEHILL RACE 8 : TANCRED STAKES ANALYSIS & BETTING STRATEGY : (CURRENT MARKET)
Distance & Class
Group 1 3YO+ Open Weight For Age over 2400m.
Track Bias
Expecting an even track with all runners getting their chance dependent on individual race pace.
Early Speed
Expecting an average early speed throughout with Knights Order [6] going to the front with Sir Lucan [10] & Vow And Declare [15] wanting to be prominent from wide draws, off the leading group Saracen Knight [1], Arapaho [3], Stockman [7] & King Frankel [8] will enjoy soft runs.
Top Pick
Very keen on the David Payne multiple Group 1 winner 14. MONTEFILLIA third up this preparation now he has reached his ” Grand Final” peak preparation performance, has produced two strong figures to kick off the preparation and will love getting out to the suitable 2400m, regular rider and the in form Dylan Gibbons retains the ride and will have this mare just off the leading group of gallopers and saved for one sprint at them late.
Danger
Last start winner of the Listed Canberra Cup 5. ARAPAHO appeals at a big price around the $26 mark in current markets, the gelding will have no issue stepping up to the 2400m this preparation having produced strong figures over the trip in her career, regualr rider Rachel King retains the ride and from barrier 3 will do no early work to find cover in behind the leading group and saved for one sprint at them late.
BETTING STRATEGY
Back 14. Montefillia (2 Unit Win Bet)
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Back 5. Arapaho (0.5 Unit Win Bet)
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any chance of putting the race number or race time on these previews please?
Not a problem, can do that from next week Mark
Will you post more tips later? Sorry – I am a newbie
All tips for the day of racing are posted between 8:30 and 9:00am – there will never be added tips
Love the TOP Sport Previews Chris. Any chance you can include the race number also?
Yep can do that
Legend CC
TOFANE!
what days do u post tips only sat?
Hi Mark, tips are posted daily between 8:30-9:00am, once you login go to “my membership”
I’m glad I signed up yesterday, Chris.
Muchas Gracias
Been a big few days !! Great timing by you Jack